日本評価研究4巻2号
The Japanese Journal of Evaluation Studies Vol. 4, No. 2
【研究論文】 政策評価マトリックス（PEM）を使った
定量的政策評価の事例
―インドネシアとタイに対する日本の留学生政策評価―佐藤 由利子
東京工業大学
yusato@ryu.titech.ac.jp要 約
本稿ではインドネシアとタイの元国費、元私費の日本留学生、元米国留学生、非留学者のアンケート回答の比較分析により、両国に対する日本の国費、私費の留学生政策が、人材養成（開発）と日本との友好関係の促進（国益）という2つの政策目標をどのように達成し、投入予算と比較してどれだけのインパクトを与えてきたか可能な限り定量的に評価する。評価手法としては、Project Design Matrixを上位の政策レベルにシフトして作成した政策評価マトリックスという枠組みを用いる。PEMによる政策評価の利点は、施策、投入、施策担当機関、政策アウトプット、政策成果、外部条件を考慮した上で、目標の達成度、インパクト、効率について総合的な評価を行えること、指標や指標入手手段を記載することにより評価調査の設計が容易になることが挙げられる。評価の結果、1）人材養成の視点からも友好関係促進の視点からも両国への国費、私費の留学生政策は政策目標をほぼ達成していること、2）タイのように私費留学する人口層が比較的厚い中進国においては、少ない予算で政策効率のよい私費政策を拡充すべきこと等が明らかとなった。PEMを活用した定量的本評価手法は他の政策評価にも応用可能である。
キーワード
政策評価マトリックスPEM 、留学生政策、
ロジカルフレームワーク、定量的評価、ODA評価
【Article】 A Case of Quantitative Policy Evaluation
Utilizing Policy Evaluation Matrix:
Evaluation of Japan's Foreign Student Policy
Towards Indonesia and Thailand
Yuriko Sato
Tokyo Institute of Technology
yusato@ryu.titech.ac.jpAbstract
Japan's Foreign Student Policy（FSP）, which was restarted in 1954 after the defeat in the World War II, has two major objectives − to assist in the development of human resources and promote friendship with participating nations. In this paper, the author evaluates the FSP towards Indonesia and Thailand. A comparison is made between the efficiency, effectiveness and impact of the Japanese Government Scholarship Program with that of the Support Program（designed specifically for those who study in Japan at their own expense）. The Policy Evaluation Matrix（PEM）evaluation method is used in this comparison since it enables a comprehensive policy evaluation taking into account all related programs including their inputs, institutions in charge, outputs and outcomes. It also enables to examine important assumptions for the attainment of the policy objective. One PEM evaluation is performed for each of the two policy objectives previously outlined. Questionnaire surveys were conducted in Indonesia and Thailand, sampling those students who received Japanese Government scholarships, studied in Japan at their own expense, studied in American universities and graduated from universities in their home countries. Comparisons between the groups were made in order to determine to what extent Japan has succeeded in reaching its policy, program objectives. The evaluation has brought to light the following:
1. Japan's FSP towards Indonesia and Thailand has been successful in acieving its objectives from the perspective of human resource development and promoting friendship with Japan.
2. Considering the budgetary input and efficiency, Support Program should be strengthened in countries such as Thailand, where many students study abroad at their own expense. This quantitative evaluation model utilizing PEM can be applied to other policy and program evaluations.
Keywords
Policy Evaluation Matrix (PEM), foreign student policy,
logical framework, quantitative evaluation, ODA evaluations